2024 has ended just like that before you realise it. It is challenging to say whether it was good or bad overall. All my goals sort of fail, but other things are coming together. Like the market, unknowns await everyone in this new year, the beginning of a new cycle…
In the past, I often questioned myself about what I had done in the last year, not much like always. However, that’s me always doing not enough, then starting to have crazier goals in the next year. Nah, this won’t work y,eah. 2024 was different to me, I wrote quite a lot last year about many things about myself. I could finally see my other half, and unlock my true potential.
I want to go easier on myself for 2025, more achievable goals instead of long-term ones. One thing is trying to start making some coffee myself, I already got the machine and will get some beans today, Funny Barista HQ isn’t bad, right? I will also keep doing my running and preparing for City2Surf in August this year. August, I will be working for 5 whole years, it is pretty quick, isn’t it?
Many things will just continue like my trading system. It will be long term I think, I need to do more to understand and improve it over time. The current one isn’t bad, I can probably finetune it a bit and put it for my option system first. It is sort of overfitting the training dataset, but I say it generalises well enough. The win rate is about 40% - 50%, some are quite profitable. Next up, I think I have to update the entire model to get rid of future information, next time, I will more focus on this one.
That’s good enough for 2025, more goals and more anticipation means more disappointment at the same time. I know I will always disappoint myself, so keep it simple. I know what to do next, and I really only need to do it, but I also need to take a break at any time and put everything down. The weight of my past and future, at certain moments, I want to put everything down, and just be myself.
To be honest, I am more worried about the future, but we don’t know what will happen. Yesterday, when I did some backtesting, I found something very interesting. If you know about the future, in just two years, you can easily get over 100,000% return with only a 24% drawdown. Once the bottleneck is overcome, the return is rather ridiculous.
The unknown really worries me, but there is also nothing to worry about, either way, there is nothing that can be done. Now, I just want to enjoy 2025.